Sunday, January 4, 2009

It's all about the oil

Besides the bad economic news you are hearing just about every day, the next few weeks are going to be about oil and gas.  Israel pushed into the gaza strip is going to affect crude oil prices, since the market tends to get a bit nervous whenever there is conflict in that region.  Russia also cut off gas supplies to the Ukraine so your going to see prices going up in that market, doesn't matter that it's half a world away.

So if you are like me and watch the market as a serious hobby then some stocks of interest may be Exxon Mobile (XOM), Chesapeake Energy Corportation (CHK), British Petrolium (BP) or any of the other big movers and shakers.  The oil & gas ETF's should be a good investment at the moment until the end of January, if Obama gets his stimulus passed and it includes all the alternative energy subsidies that I think it will then you may see a market drop at that point.

In other news, the Eagles won!

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Your mortgage and 2009

What to do what to do.  Mortgage rates are at and incredible low right now with some banks offering 4.7% but the standards for qualification have gone way up.  You need a FICO of at least 720 to qualify for the best rates (this is up almost 60 points from a year ago).  You also need alot more proof to even qualify, including a steady job, and with the jobless rate almost breaking 10% now there are alot of people out there that have no recourse.  Personally I would wait until mid next year to see what happens,  Obama  and his crew are probably going to force rates lower at some point to ease the burden on over extended borrowers.  You might also see some "Tax Free" days where you don't have to pay federal income tax,  which is nice since we'll see some more cash flow.

Housing prices are going to continue to freefall until the markets can stabalize themselves,  13% last year and probably another 10% by mid year 2009.  So refinancing your current mortgage with such a fluid index could mean if you didn't do it right you could end up paying more than your house is worth, a bad boat to be in.  So I would hold tight on the refinance.

I'm really looking forward to January 20th and Obama's innauguration, he wants a stimulus put in place that he can push the same day he takes office and maybe we'll finally see some benefit come to us instead of the bloated banks and corporations that we are so gamely supporting with our tax money.  Key words to remember is infrastructure, Roads and Bridges and companies that are part of that sector, if the stimulus passes, stand to have a big influx of cash on hand so we might see some nice stock movement!

Happy New Years Everybody!